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18 August 2020

GBP/USD consolidates gains above 1.3100, Brexit negotiations in focus

GBP/USD seesaws in a choppy range above 1.3100 heading into the London open on Tuesday. Even so, the Cable rises for the fourth day in a row ahead of the key seventh round of EU-UK talks over post-Brexit ties. Persistent dollar weakness offers support to the spot.

Unless breaking 1.3200, GBP/USD prices remain vulnerable to revisit Wednesday’s low around the 1.3000 threshold.

EUR/USD: Positive phase expected above 1.1915 – UOB

24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘there is room for EUR to edge higher and test the 1.1880 resistance’. We added, for today, ‘a sustained rise above this level is not expected’. Our view was not wrong as EUR rose to a high of 1.1880 before ending the day on a firm note at 1.1869 (+0.24%). While in overbought territory, the advance has room to extend further even though the odds for a sustained rise above the month-to-date high at 1.1915 are not high (next resistance is at 1.1945). Overall, the current upward pressure is expected to remain intact as long as EUR does not move below 1.1835 (minor support is at 1.1855).”

Next 1-3 weeks: “EUR tested the top of our expected consolidation range of 1.1660/1.1880 yesterday (high of 1.1880). The price action was not surprising as we highlighted yesterday (17 Aug, spot at 1.1845) that ‘while EUR could edge above 1.1880, only a NY closing above 1.1915 would indicate the start of fresh positive phase’. For now, the prospect for EUR to move clearly above 1.1915 is not high but it would increase quickly unless EUR moves and stays below 1.1815 within these few days. Looking forward, if there is a NY closing above 1.1915, EUR could strengthen towards 1.2000.”

Gold Futures: Room for extra upside

Traders increased their open interest positions in Gold futures markets by almost 3.5K contracts at the beginning of the week, according to flash data from CME Group. Volume, in the same line, reversed three consecutive pullbacks and went up by around 57.4K contracts.

Gold now targets the 2020 tops

Prices of the ounce troy of the precious metal are approaching the psychological $2,000 mark. Monday’s uptick in Gold was amidst rising open interest and volume, leaving the door open to extra gains and a potential visit to the YTD tops around $2,075.

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